What the numbers say
Reports of IT-related economic crime rose from 27,038 (2022) to 35,254 (2023), then to 39,824 (2024). The increase mirrors a surge in SMS, phone and email lures. In June 2024, the destructive-attack threat level moved to MEDIUM, reflecting a tougher European environment.
Fraud mechanics: channel is the campaign
Smishing more than doubled in 2023; vishing and phishing also rose. High digital adoption and recognizable identity/payment flows make Denmark attractive to criminals using turnkey kits.
From fraud to outage
In May 2023, 22 Danish energy companies were attacked; several shifted to island-mode. Access flowed through networking gear into ICS boundaries — the exact seam defenders are hardening.
Real money moves
Banks and authorities estimate DKK 464m in losses in 2023 across payment, netbank, investment and romance scams. Global benchmarks put an average breach at USD 4.88m in 2024.
Signals for 2025 planning
- Expect SMS first-contact to stay hot; treat it as the main funnel and blunt with filtering & takedown.
- Harden identity edges; push phishing-resistant MFA and secure help-desk flows.
- Assume supplier compromise; require auditable backup isolation and default-deny access.
- Practice outage, not just breach; drill island-mode and comms blackout.
Method notes & limits
We use official Danish sources for volume, composition and readiness; IBM for global breach cost context. Category shares come from the latest widely cited breakdown (2021). Losses reflect specific scam tallies and exclude indirect costs.